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Market Commentary

Updated on April 24, 2018 10:25:03 AM EDT

Both of this morning’s economic reports gave us unfavorable results. The Commerce Department announced that sales of newly constructed homes rose 4.0% last month, exceeding expectations. A sizable upward revision to February’s sales also pushed the number of new home sales higher than previously thought. Because it is a sign of housing sector strength, the news should be considered negative for bonds and mortgage rates. However, the truth is that this report doesn’t carry much significance, so its impact on today’s rates has been minimal.

Aprils Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) was the second release of the morning. The Conference Board said that the CCI stood at 128.7 this month. This was higher than the 126.1 that was forecasted and an increase from March’s reading, meaning surveyed consumers were more optimistic about their own financial situations than expected. That is bad news because rising confidence usually means consumers are more likely to spend, fueling economic growth.

Tomorrow has no relevant economic data schedule, but we do have the first of this week’s two Treasury auctions that have the potential to influence mortgage rates. There will be an auction of 5-year Treasury Notes tomorrow and 7-year Notes on Thursday. Neither of these sales will directly impact mortgage pricing, but they can influence general bond market sentiment. If the sales go poorly, we could see broader selling in the bond market that leads to upward revisions in mortgage rates. On the other hand, strong sales usually make government securities more attractive to investors and bring more funds into bonds. The buying of bonds that follows often translates into lower mortgage rates. Results of the sales will be posted at 1:00 PM ET each auction day, so look for any reaction to come during early afternoon hours.

 ©Mortgage Commentary 2018

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PRMI NMLS No. 3094. Branch NMLS 252910. PRMI is an Equal Housing Lender. Some products and services may not be available in all states. Credit and collateral are subject to approval. Terms and conditions apply. This is not a commitment to lend. Programs, rates, terms and conditions are subject to change without notice. The content in this marketing advertisement has not been approved, reviewed, sponsored or endorsed by any department or government agency. Rates are subject to change and are subject to borrower(s) qualification. This office is licensed and examined by the Office of Consumer Credit Commissioner of the State of Texas. Alabama Banking Department Bureau of Banking MC 20316. Arkansas Securities Department 11558. Florida Office of Financial Regulation MLD646. Department of Banking and Finance 6521. Office of Financial Institutions #771. Missouri Division of Finance. Mississippi Department of Banking and Consumer Finance, 3094. Oklahoma Department of Consumer Credit ML010027. Department of Financial Institutions 109282.

PRMI NMLS No. 3094. Branch NMLS 252910. PRMI is an Equal Housing Lender. Some products and services may not be available in all states. Credit and collateral are subject to approval. Terms and conditions apply. This is not a commitment to lend. Programs, rates, terms and conditions are subject to change without notice. The content in this marketing advertisement has not been approved, reviewed, sponsored or endorsed by any department or government agency. Rates are subject to change and are subject to borrower(s) qualification. This office is licensed and examined by the Office of Consumer Credit Commissioner of the State of Texas. Alabama Banking Department Bureau of Banking MC 20316. Arkansas Securities Department 11558. Florida Office of Financial Regulation MLD646. Department of Banking and Finance 6521. Office of Financial Institutions #771. Missouri Division of Finance. Mississippi Department of Banking and Consumer Finance, 3094. Oklahoma Department of Consumer Credit ML010027. Department of Financial Institutions 109282.